In reading the article and following presidential races fairly close over the last 20 years, the thing that stands out to me is that Obama leads in all the catagories that tend not to turn out all that well.
He leads among young voters, we all know that as much as they claim they are going to vote, they rarely turn out in the numbers predicted.
He obviously leads among blacks, they may actually turn out in droves, but may of the inner city blacks tend to stay unregistered out of fear.
I see a huge Bradley effect going on this year.
If McCain wins I think it will be an unexpected landslide that will have the MSM in a tizzy. I personally believe that Obama needs to be up around 5-6 points going into the election to actuall get the votes to win.
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