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LATEST STATE POLLS FOR 2012 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENT

Tarheel

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LATEST STATE POLLS FOR 2012 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENT
« on: October 19, 2011, 01:42:04 PM »
I've been reviewing some of the latest polling data from the early primary and caucus states; it looks like Cain is looking fairly well although the closeness of the Florida Primary is surprising.  I thought that he would be doing much better in that state.  What surprised me the most is Iowa.  Romney has a huge political operation there and it is not showing in the polling results.

Iowa
Republican Presidential Caucus
17 OCT 2011
CAIN 26%
ROMNEY 18%
GINGRICH 12%
BACHMAN 11%
PAUL 10%
PERRY 6%
HUNTSMAN 1%
SANTORUM >1%

Florida
Republican Presidential Primary
19 OCT 2011
ROMNEY 33%
CAIN 32%
PERRY 9%
GINGRICH 6%
PAUL 6%
BACHMANN 2%
HUNTSMAN 2%
SANTORUM 1%

South Carolina
Republican Presidential Primary
19 OCT 2011
CAIN 31%
ROMNEY 28%
PERRY 10%
GINGRICH 7%
PAUL 5%
BACHMANN 5%
SANTORUM 2%
HUNTSMAN 1%

New Hampshire
Republican Presidential Primary
17 OCT 2011
ROMNEY 39%
CAIN 24%
PAUL 11%
HUNTSMAN 5%
GINGRICH 5%
BACHMANN 5%
PERRY 2%
SANTORUM >1%
JOHNSON >1%

These are all of the key early primaries that results are available for (nothing for Nevada yet) however I thought that this KEY Super Tuesday 1 state was VERY interesting because to win the White House a candidate must win this particular state:

Ohio
Republican Presidental Primary
18 OCT 2011
CAIN 34%
ROMNEY 19%
GINGRICH 14%
PAUL 7%
BACHMANN 6%
PERRY 5%
SANTORUM 1%
HUNTSMAN 1%

Source Data Page:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
Republican Presidential


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The question isn't who is going to let me; it's who is going to stop me. 
-Ayn Rand

The problem with socialism is that eventually you run out of other people's money.
-The Right Honourable Margaret Thatcher

The government solution to a problem is usually as bad as the problem.
-Milton Friedman

The nine most terrifying words in the English language are: 'I'm from the government and I'm here to help.'
-Ronald Reagan

When the people fear their government, there is tyranny; when the government fears the people, there is liberty.
-Thomas Jefferson

War Eagle!!!

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Re: LATEST STATE POLLS FOR 2012 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENT
« Reply #1 on: October 19, 2011, 01:48:21 PM »
Wow.

Good to see!
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Snaggletiger

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Re: LATEST STATE POLLS FOR 2012 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENT
« Reply #2 on: October 19, 2011, 02:16:20 PM »
Maybe it's just perception on my part, but I thought Perry was one of the major players.
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AUTiger1

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Re: LATEST STATE POLLS FOR 2012 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENT
« Reply #3 on: October 19, 2011, 02:22:47 PM »
Maybe it's just perception on my part, but I thought Perry was one of the major players.

It seems like Mr. Perry is getting bitched slapped every time he turns around.  When you look stupid on TV it will hurt you.
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Courage is only fear holding on a minute longer.--George S. Patton

There are gonna be days when you lay your guts on the line and you come away empty handed, there ain't a damn thing you can do about it but go back out there and lay em on the line again...and again, and again! -- Coach Pat Dye

It isn't that liberals are ignorant. It's just they know so much that isn't so. --Ronald Reagan

Tarheel

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Re: LATEST STATE POLLS FOR 2012 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENT
« Reply #4 on: October 19, 2011, 02:26:32 PM »
Maybe it's just perception on my part, but I thought Perry was one of the major players.

He still is but apparently only by virtue of his tens of millions in campaign funds.  He might sell himself well in Texas but obviously not in other states especially these four key early primary states.
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The question isn't who is going to let me; it's who is going to stop me. 
-Ayn Rand

The problem with socialism is that eventually you run out of other people's money.
-The Right Honourable Margaret Thatcher

The government solution to a problem is usually as bad as the problem.
-Milton Friedman

The nine most terrifying words in the English language are: 'I'm from the government and I'm here to help.'
-Ronald Reagan

When the people fear their government, there is tyranny; when the government fears the people, there is liberty.
-Thomas Jefferson

AUTailgatingRules

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Re: LATEST STATE POLLS FOR 2012 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENT
« Reply #5 on: October 19, 2011, 02:55:51 PM »
He still is but apparently only by virtue of his tens of millions in campaign funds.  He might sell himself well in Texas but obviously not in other states especially these four key early primary states.

Career Politicians are not playing well anywhere right now.  And Perry is a HORRIBLE debater to boot.
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Tarheel

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Re: LATEST STATE POLLS FOR 2012 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENT
« Reply #6 on: October 20, 2011, 01:20:03 PM »
I saw an article today on a new Iowa poll released yesterday of "those absolutely certain that they will show up and vote in the Caucus" shows Hermain Cain leading Mitt Romney by 31% to 18%.

Again, that's very interesting to me because Cain has very little in the way of a political operation in Iowa whereas Romney has a huge political machine there.

Source:
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/iowa/2012_iowa_republican_caucus
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The question isn't who is going to let me; it's who is going to stop me. 
-Ayn Rand

The problem with socialism is that eventually you run out of other people's money.
-The Right Honourable Margaret Thatcher

The government solution to a problem is usually as bad as the problem.
-Milton Friedman

The nine most terrifying words in the English language are: 'I'm from the government and I'm here to help.'
-Ronald Reagan

When the people fear their government, there is tyranny; when the government fears the people, there is liberty.
-Thomas Jefferson

Snaggletiger

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Re: LATEST STATE POLLS FOR 2012 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENT
« Reply #7 on: October 20, 2011, 01:49:04 PM »
I saw about 20 minutes of an interview with Cain last night.  Now, I readily admit I follow politics about 1/1000th as much as you guys, so I didn't recognize the guy doing the interviewing.  I think his first name was Reis and he had a British type accent.  Anywho, he was doing a great job of not cutting Cain any slack and playing devil's advocate on many of his questions.  I was quite impressed with Cain's demeanor and his stances on several of the issues discussed.

On the Occupy Wallskreet crowd, Cain cut them no slack either, saying the overwhelming majority of those people have jobs.  The people he feels for are those that the economy has hit, but are actively getting out there trying to find jobs and make their own way.  They're not sitting downtown with signs, they're trying to do something about their situation.  He went into his thoughts on the banking/mortgage crisis and who he thought was really accountable, which was more the administrations fault for protecting them and trying to bail them out. 

He was also questioned hard about the Tea Party and all the claims of racism.  Cain defended them and when asked what he would say to Morgan Freeman and some other blacks who had made racism claims, he said "That's because they've never been to a Tea Party meeting and I'd be happy to take them to one to see for themselves."  The last thing I heard him say, which is what I have heard echoed here many times, was that he's not a politician.  That's what struck me because I had been thinking all along that there's no spin here.  He's telling it like it is, the way he sees it.  I hate politics for the most part, but this is refreshing to me.   
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GH2001

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Re: LATEST STATE POLLS FOR 2012 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENT
« Reply #8 on: October 20, 2011, 01:54:45 PM »
I saw about 20 minutes of an interview with Cain last night.  Now, I readily admit I follow politics about 1/1000th as much as you guys, so I didn't recognize the guy doing the interviewing.  I think his first name was Reis and he had a British type accent.  Anywho, he was doing a great job of not cutting Cain any slack and playing devil's advocate on many of his questions.  I was quite impressed with Cain's demeanor and his stances on several of the issues discussed.

On the Occupy Wallskreet crowd, Cain cut them no slack either, saying the overwhelming majority of those people have jobs.  The people he feels for are those that the economy has hit, but are actively getting out there trying to find jobs and make their own way.  They're not sitting downtown with signs, they're trying to do something about their situation.  He went into his thoughts on the banking/mortgage crisis and who he thought was really accountable, which was more the administrations fault for protecting them and trying to bail them out. 

He was also questioned hard about the Tea Party and all the claims of racism.  Cain defended them and when asked what he would say to Morgan Freeman and some other blacks who had made racism claims, he said "That's because they've never been to a Tea Party meeting and I'd be happy to take them to one to see for themselves."  The last thing I heard him say, which is what I have heard echoed here many times, was that he's not a politician.  That's what struck me because I had been thinking all along that there's no spin here.  He's telling it like it is, the way he sees it.  I hate politics for the most part, but this is refreshing to me.   

Piers Morgan?

I try not to watch him now, since he and Tony Bennett agreed last week in an interview that Obama is America's greatest achievement....EVER. Not winning independence from England, not Washington crossing the Deleware, Not Edison's inventions, or Henry Ford's processes, not the Constitution, not writing the Declr. of Ind. but....Obama. He's our greatest achievement? Fuck em both in da mouf. Bennett can take his heart to San Franciso.
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Snaggletiger

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Re: LATEST STATE POLLS FOR 2012 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENT
« Reply #9 on: October 20, 2011, 02:01:13 PM »
Piers Morgan?

I try not to watch him now, since he and Tony Bennett agreed last week in an interview that Obama is America's greatest achievement....EVER. Not winning independence from England, not Washington crossing the Deleware, Not Edison's inventions, or Henry Ford's processes, not the Constitution, not writing the Declr. of Ind. but....Obama. He's our greatest achievement? Fuck em both in da mouf. Bennett can take his heart to San Franciso.

That was him.  Never seen him before and yes, he was giving it to Cain pretty good, but again I thought he was just intentionally playing devil's advocate for a better interview.
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Tarheel

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Re: LATEST STATE POLLS FOR 2012 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENT
« Reply #10 on: October 20, 2011, 02:05:49 PM »
Piers Morgan?

I try not to watch him now, since he and Tony Bennett agreed last week in an interview that Obama is America's greatest achievement....EVER. Not winning independence from England, not Washington crossing the Deleware, Not Edison's inventions, or Henry Ford's processes, not the Constitution, not writing the Declr. of Ind. but....Obama. He's our greatest achievement? fudge em both in da mouf. Bennett can take his heart to San Franciso.

You forgot landing our astronauts on the Moon and returning them safely back to earth...six times...seven if you count Apollo 13.

But, no, that's not our greatest achievement either...it's The Pharaoh.

What a couple of ignorant, obsequious morons.
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The question isn't who is going to let me; it's who is going to stop me. 
-Ayn Rand

The problem with socialism is that eventually you run out of other people's money.
-The Right Honourable Margaret Thatcher

The government solution to a problem is usually as bad as the problem.
-Milton Friedman

The nine most terrifying words in the English language are: 'I'm from the government and I'm here to help.'
-Ronald Reagan

When the people fear their government, there is tyranny; when the government fears the people, there is liberty.
-Thomas Jefferson

Snaggletiger

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Re: LATEST STATE POLLS FOR 2012 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENT
« Reply #11 on: October 20, 2011, 02:08:14 PM »
That's the first time I've ever heard anyone use "obsequious" in a sentence since Steve Martin's Let's Get Small album.  Glad I came to work today.
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My doctor told me I needed to stop masturbating.  I asked him why, and he said, "because I'm trying to examine you."

Tarheel

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Re: LATEST STATE POLLS FOR 2012 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENT
« Reply #12 on: October 20, 2011, 02:31:28 PM »
That's the first time I've ever heard anyone use "obsequious" in a sentence since Steve Martin's Let's Get Small album.  Glad I came to work today.


I am an Artificer.
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The question isn't who is going to let me; it's who is going to stop me. 
-Ayn Rand

The problem with socialism is that eventually you run out of other people's money.
-The Right Honourable Margaret Thatcher

The government solution to a problem is usually as bad as the problem.
-Milton Friedman

The nine most terrifying words in the English language are: 'I'm from the government and I'm here to help.'
-Ronald Reagan

When the people fear their government, there is tyranny; when the government fears the people, there is liberty.
-Thomas Jefferson

AUTiger1

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Re: LATEST STATE POLLS FOR 2012 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENT
« Reply #13 on: October 20, 2011, 02:48:05 PM »
Damn you and your big words! 
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Courage is only fear holding on a minute longer.--George S. Patton

There are gonna be days when you lay your guts on the line and you come away empty handed, there ain't a damn thing you can do about it but go back out there and lay em on the line again...and again, and again! -- Coach Pat Dye

It isn't that liberals are ignorant. It's just they know so much that isn't so. --Ronald Reagan

GH2001

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Re: LATEST STATE POLLS FOR 2012 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENT
« Reply #14 on: October 20, 2011, 04:02:07 PM »
You forgot landing our astronauts on the Moon and returning them safely back to earth...six times...seven if you count Apollo 13.

But, no, that's not our greatest achievement either...it's The Pharaoh.

What a couple of ignorant, obsequious morons.

Sometimes celebrities that are known for their non-political talents should just stick to their talents. Bennett screwed up there. A zillion ways his statement can rub the average American wrong. That one really hurt me as did Morgan Freeman's comments a few weeks ago, because I liked both of them.
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