Tigers X - Number one Source to Talk Auburn Tigers Sports
Pat Dye Field => War Damn Eagle => Topic started by: Kaos on September 03, 2009, 02:28:32 PM
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What the results from 2009 will tell us about Gene Chizik.
If Chizik is a good coach, Auburn will win the games where the Auburn should have better talent across the board. There are four of those:
Louisiana Tech
Furman
Mississippi State
Ball State
He should win at least half the games where talent is relatively equal. There are three possibly four of those:
West Virginia **
Kentucky
Tennessee
Arkansas
He should win at least 25% of the games where coaching will have to trump superior talent. There are at least four of those.
Georgia
Alabama
LSU
Ole Miss **
This being the case, if Chizik is a good coach, Auburn should win a MINIMUM, yes, MINIMUM of seven games.
Things can go wrong, obviously, but anything less than seven that doesn't include catastrophic circumstances should be a giant red flag waving briskly in the breeze.
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I will go along with that
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Agreed. The two main factors are the same ones we come back to time and again. Injuries and QB play. Avoid a rash of injuries and Todd playing with at least one eye poked out of his ass cheeks...and 7 wins is a must.
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If less than 5 wins - :shitfan:
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If less than 5 wins - :shitfan:
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Agreed.
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Does this mean Kaos will officially say the Chizik is a good coach if Auburn wins 7 or more? Or doe this just mean he gets to say he is miserable if he does not.
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In Kev's defense, I think he is setting the parameters on which his evaluation of the season will be based.
This puts more of a definition on "Chizik sucks" and should be welcomed.
I agree with him, by the way, on the parameters, and will withhold judgment on whether or not Chiz sucks until season's end.
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Does this mean Kaos will officially say the Chizik is a good coach if Auburn wins 7 or more? Or doe this just mean he gets to say he is miserable if he does not.
Both.
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If less than 5 wins - :shitfan:
[/quote
Agreed.
Dont, quote me boy, cause I ain't said shit.
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Dont, quote me boy, cause I ain't said shit.
No one quotes like you
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What the results from 2009 will tell us about Gene Chizik.
If Chizik is a good coach, Auburn will win the games where the Auburn should have better talent across the board. There are four of those:
Louisiana Tech
Furman
Mississippi State
Ball State
He should win at least half the games where talent is relatively equal. There are three possibly four of those:
West Virginia **
Kentucky
Tennessee
Arkansas
He should win at least 25% of the games where coaching will have to trump superior talent. There are at least four of those.
Georgia
Alabama
LSU
Ole Miss **
This being the case, if Chizik is a good coach, Auburn should win a MINIMUM, yes, MINIMUM of seven games.
Things can go wrong, obviously, but anything less than seven that doesn't include catastrophic circumstances should be a giant red flag waving briskly in the breeze.
Barring the catastropic events not in their control, I think it would be a safe bet on the remainder of those first 4 being a lock.
FWIW, I think you can move UGA out of that last group...for now.
Overall, I think you're right...7 wins is the benchmark for at least saying: "Ok, now lets see how recruiting goes." I think in the eyes of "the talking heads" it would be 2-3 games better than originally expected, and I think if he somehow managed 9 wins, he'd be a contender for SEC CoY.
Another thought...there's some possible overlap in that first and second group. UT at least performed the way it should have against a lesser opponent, and UK looked fairly solid too. LSU struggled, and Ole Miss made some mistakes. Bammer struggled for 3 and a half quarters against a team they should have beaten by 3 TDs, and put away early.
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Good post, Kaos.
7 wins, especially after the 2nd half performance of the La Tech game, is the minimum. We looked really good in all facets of the game. Our defense needs some work, but offensively, we should always expect to score at least 21 points againts every team except Bama.
21 points + typical Auburn defense will be a great season.
War Damn, and thank God Labor Day makes this feel like a quick week.