Tigers X - Number one Source to Talk Auburn Tigers Sports
Pat Dye Field => War Damn Eagle => Topic started by: The Six on September 13, 2014, 09:08:04 AM
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Georgia @ South Carolina
UCLA @ Texas
Tennessee @ Oklahoma
Who ya got?
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UCLA is a given. I'm thinking SC has a shot but Tenn not so much. I'm still going with the thugs but I hope SC wins.
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The HBC gets the upset today against Richt's (a fine man - he spoke at my church, you know) Dawgs. USC 24. UGA 17
Charlie Strong's nightmare in Austin continues. The Bruins win this one with great ease. UCLA 41 Texas 14
Big Game Bob will continue to run his mouth about how over rated the SEC is after his Sooners beat down Butch's Vols in Norman. OU 52 UT 17
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Georgia @ South Carolina
UCLA @ Texas
Tennessee @ Oklahoma
Who ya got?
I haven't seen two better teams than Michigan State or Oregon so far, not to pay too much attention to the final score. Getting thumped in the Pacific Northwest is not much different than a near drowning in Baton Rouge.
Auburn is right up there even with our defensive inconsistencies along with Baylor minus injured Bryce Petty.
The favorites above have been overhyped, ALL OF THEM!
Just to play along though I like Georgia, UCLA and Oklahoma to win but not cover ATS.
My choice if I were betting would be UCF +10 @ Mizzou.
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I too think the thuga ugas will take care of business today but you know, I'm not gonna be surprised if SC squeaks out a W.
UCLA will hammer Tejas nuff said.
Choklahoma.......watch out for the Vols here. I think the Sooners will win but I'm thinking Stoops is so caught up in proving anit-SEC biased views that he will make enough coaching mistakes to keep the Vols alive.
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Damn, would have lost on UCF.
Missouri looks solid might actually be a challenger in the SEC East again.
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Vanderbilt should maybe cancel the rest of their season, getting beat by Temple is somewhat understandable...but UMASS? Really?!?!
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Vanderbilt should maybe cancel the rest of their season, getting beat by Temple is somewhat understandable...but UMASS? Really?!?!
Vandy is as bad as I can remember, like a start-up program. Pray for them.
I don't care that they eeked it out. And no SEC chants. Fuck that!
Also...would like to drag McElroy aroung the yard behind my lawn tractor.
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Game Day is about to choose The Grove over LSU @ Jordan Hare unless the Reb's shit the bed beforehand.
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Arky looking good so far. TT can't stop their RBs.
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Spurrier is going to need a third case of beer to take away some of the sting from this game. UGA is going to shit-stomp them.
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I like UVA to upset Louisville.
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Some AU love been goin on during the CBS weather delay.
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Thuga had four devastating blocks on that one.
Neither pass D is any better than ours so it appears.
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Apparently I jinxed UGA.
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I'll gladly give up my bonus for that. Anytime ThUGA loses like that, I giggle. UGA is the bammers of the East!
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This Kentucky team ain't bad.
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I like UVA to upset Louisville.
i also think USC will beat thugs, after thinking more about it. And east Caroline should beat VT, though it will go to the 4th pretty close after Carolina loses a big lead. Just my opinion.
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i also think USC will beat thugs, after thinking more about it. And east Caroline should beat VT, though it will go to the 4th pretty close after Carolina loses a big lead. Just my opinion.
So astute. Ever thought of using your skills as a service?
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The fuck is a slumdog?
I think Georgia probably loses. Too one dimensional. After Gurley there isn't much else.
Texas because the Pac 11.3 is overrated.
Tennessee isn't there yet. So OU.
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This Kentucky team ain't bad.
Watched most of the UK/UF game. Very impressed with how far Kentucky has come. They were every bit the equal of Florida talent-wise on both sides of the ball. Florida has some holes on defense but overall, they'll easily be the best D Bama has faced. By a long shot. Florida's offense does nothing for me, though. Can't see them doing much this weekend.
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Watched most of the UK/UF game. Very impressed with how far Kentucky has come. They were every bit the equal of Florida talent-wise on both sides of the ball. Florida has some holes on defense but overall, they'll easily be the best D Bama has faced. By a long shot. Florida's offense does nothing for me, though. Can't see them doing much this weekend.
Yeah it looks like Coach Boom might need to buckle up for this ride.
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The Over in the game tonight is 65. Free money. The loser of this game will score at least 34.
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The Over in the game tonight is 65. Free money. The loser of this game will score at least 34.
I like the bet but not sure KSU will score 34.
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I like the bet but not sure KSU will score 34.
I wouldn't have thought so pre-Whitehead news. Now I think it's going to be a 75+ point total score game.
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I wouldn't have thought so pre-Whitehead news. Now I think it's going to be a 75+ point total score game.
I'm thinking you will be pleasantly surprised.
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I'm thinking you will be pleasantly surprised.
Hope so.
If it's not a 48-34 type Auburn win (which is more likely), it'll be a 52-17 type Auburn domination. 65 is still free money.
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Hope so.
If it's not a 48-34 type Auburn win (which is more likely), it'll be a 52-17 type Auburn domination. 65 is still free money.
45-17
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45-17
Nah. IF KSU is only on the field long enough to score 17, Auburn will score at least 7 TDs. Book it.
Again, more likely to be a 40something - 30something score.
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Nah. IF KSU is only on the field long enough to score 17, Auburn will score at least 7 TDs. Book it.
Again, more likely to be a 40something - 30something score.
45-17
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45-17
2-1
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45-17
So you wanna wager and take the under?
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So you wanna wager and take the under?
I'll take it. If I win, you have to lick my taint. If you win, I'll let you nibble on my nut sack.
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I'll take it. If I win, you have to lick my taint. If you win, I'll let you nibble on my nut sack.
You're going balls out.
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You're going balls out.
I think he's nuts if he takes that bet
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I think he's nuts if he takes that bet
It could get very hairy.
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Won't be a ton of scoring if there are a lot of sacks.
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Won't be a ton of scoring if there are a lot of sacks.
Yeah, folks could start getting anal and shit.
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I don't know if he'll swallow on this one. But I'm going to save my gnat butter up, just in case.
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WT's advances aside, the line has dropped to 7.5, despite the public being 70% on Auburn.
Does that scare anyone?
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I don't know if he'll swallow on this one. But I'm going to save my gnat butter up, just in case.
Hell he better swallow, or it sounds like this one may blow up in his face.
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WT's advances aside, the line has dropped to 7.5, despite the public being 70% on Auburn.
Does that scare anyone?
70% of the people or 70% of the money?
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70% of the people or 70% of the money?
That's at least 46/77ths of the people poled. Ouch!
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That's at least 46/77ths of the people poled. Ouch!
he said poled.....yeah yeah cool.
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70% of the people or 70% of the money?
The money, I assume.
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WT's advances aside, the line has dropped to 7.5, despite the public being 70% on Auburn.
Does that scare anyone?
Not really, just means bettors think it will be a close game and are taking the points.
45-17
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You know, I think Ima go with 45-17. You heard it hear first.
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The money, I assume.
Let me see where you are seeing this...curious.
I am seeing those types of numbers on the site I use, http://www.sportsinteraction.com/football/ncaa-betting-lines/ (http://www.sportsinteraction.com/football/ncaa-betting-lines/) but that is the people, not the money
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Let me see where you are seeing this...curious.
I am seeing those types of numbers on the site I use, http://www.sportsinteraction.com/football/ncaa-betting-lines/ (http://www.sportsinteraction.com/football/ncaa-betting-lines/) but that is the people, not the money
Not the be all end all but ESPN has it at 7.5
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Let me see where you are seeing this...curious.
I am seeing those types of numbers on the site I use, http://www.sportsinteraction.com/football/ncaa-betting-lines/ (http://www.sportsinteraction.com/football/ncaa-betting-lines/) but that is the people, not the money
A chat (that AWK is also in). They sent this screenshot. It's 69% now.
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I suspect that is the %split on people and not % split on money.
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As soon as they announced that Whitehead was out the line plummeted.
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More betting terms I don't understand, but apparently the juice is +100 on Auburn (even money), -120 on KSU (bet $120 make $100), which apparently means Vegas is begging people to bet on Auburn. That's with the spread.
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More betting terms I don't understand, but apparently the juice is +100 on Auburn (even money), -120 on KSU (bet $120 make $100), which apparently means Vegas is begging people to bet on Auburn. That's with the spread.
Do you like to spread or being poled?
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Maybe it's just the money. I can't believe that it's this close. How in the hell people can see this being a less than 2 touchdown game is beyond me.
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More betting terms I don't understand, but apparently the juice is +100 on Auburn (even money), -120 on KSU (bet $120 make $100), which apparently means Vegas is begging people to bet on Auburn. That's with the spread.
Juice is what it costs you to place the bet.....Most local books are gonna charge you 10% juice on your bet, meaning if you bet a $100.00 and win your bet then the bookie is gonna pay you $90.00 cause he is going to take his $10 of juice off the top of you winnings.
Juice varies and can actually get pretty expensive doing it online.
At the end of the day though bookies don't give a shit who wins or loses because in theory they have adjust the point spread to encourage equal monetary betting for both teams.
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Juice is what it costs you to place the bet.....Most local books are gonna charge you 10% juice on your bet, meaning if you bet a $100.00 and win your bet then the bookie is gonna pay you $90.00 cause he is going to take his $10 of juice off the top of you winnings.
Juice varies and can actually get pretty expensive doing it online.
At the end of the day though bookies don't give a shoot who wins or loses because in theory they have adjust the point spread to encourage equal monetary betting for both teams.
I knew the juice part but splain this to me. Doesn't the surprisingly low spread indicate that there is more money being put on KS than on AU--Meaning they are trying to entice people to put more money on AU? Even though, we have the 70/30 split, they are still wanting people to bet AU, yes/no?
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Money line is ONLY concerned with who wins...No matter what the points are. Think of this as your odds bets on a craps table.
Auburn is the favored team due to the - sign. Money line I am seeing is Auburn -305. Money lines are expressed in denominations for $100. So in order to win $100 you will have to wager $305. Understand this though, money lines use to NEVER be used with Football because there are usually plenty of points being scored. Money lines were used with sports that don't have a lot of scoring. ie baseball, soccer, etc.
Knowing all that what does it tell us class? That's right.
It tells us that it's a sucker bet. No matter which way you are going if you consistantly are betting more to win less you are gonna get fucked. UGA come to mind.....So does Texas. So does USCe a couple of weeks ago.
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I knew the juice part but splain this to me. Doesn't the surprisingly low spread indicate that there is more money being put on KS than on AU--Meaning they are trying to entice people to put more money on AU? Even though, we have the 70/30 split, they are still wanting people to bet AU, yes/no?
No....You are confusing the people and the money.
70% of the people think Auburn is going to win. That does not mean 70% of the money is on Auburn to cover the spread.
Remember bookies don't give a shit who wins they just want $ bet on both sides. Essentially they want the people who bet on Auburn and the people betting on KSU to exchange money minus their juice. Sometimes they are gonna have people load up and hurt them in principle and sometime they are gonna win a lot of cast with betting being lopsided. I think Hogwally and I about killed one in NW Arkansas one year. No bookie will survive having extreme swings like that though. They are like any other business. They look to equalize their risk.
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Money line is ONLY concerned with who wins...No matter what the points are. Think of this as your odds bets on a craps table.
Auburn is the favored team due to the - sign. Money line I am seeing is Auburn -305. Money lines are expressed in denominations for $100. So in order to win $100 you will have to wager $305. Understand this though, money lines use to NEVER be used with Football because there are usually plenty of points being scored. Money lines were used with sports that don't have a lot of scoring. ie baseball, soccer, etc.
Knowing all that what does it tell us class? That's right.
It tells us that it's a sucker bet. No matter which way you are going if you consistantly are betting more to win less you are gonna get fudgeed. UGA come to mind.....So does Texas. So does USCe a couple of weeks ago.
What you talking about Willis? I haven't placed a significant wager in a while but are you saying that if I place a 1k bet on AU tonight and we cover, that I won't get my $900?
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I got my mind on my money and my money on my mind.
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What you talking about Willis? I haven't placed a significant wager in a while but are you saying that if I place a 1k bet on AU tonight and we cover, that I won't get my $900?
If you place a 1k on AU to cover then yes you are going to win $1000 minus what ever the juice cost is. Let's say 10% to keep it simple. That would be $900.00
If you bet $1000 on the money line then you are saying that Auburn is just gonna win no matter what they win by and that bet will make you about $300 when it pays off.
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I got my mind on my money and my money on my mind.
I'm smoking endo.
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If you place a 1k on AU to cover then yes you are going to win $1000 minus what ever the juice cost is. Let's say 10% to keep it simple. That would be $900.00
If you bet $1000 on the money line then you are saying that Auburn is just gonna win no matter what they win by and that bet will make you about $300 when it pays off.
ok, got you. I know not of this money line you speak of. But, everything else is the same as when I was a high rolling gambler back in my younger days.
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If you place a 1k on AU to cover then yes you are going to win $1000 minus what ever the juice cost is. Let's say 10% to keep it simple. That would be $900.00
If you bet $1000 on the money line then you are saying that Auburn is just gonna win no matter what they win by and that bet will make you about $300 when it pays off.
But there is no juice on betting on Auburn for this game, only 20% on KSU, correct? In other words, you don't have to pay the house at all if you bet on Auburn right now...?
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I like Us and under. I think we have a few called back and Corey Grant runs wild. We also get some piddly interference calls but they CANNOT STOP US. Plus I think our front seven frustrates the hell out of them.
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But there is no juice on betting on Auburn for this game, only 20% on KSU, correct? In other words, you don't have to pay the house at all if you bet on Auburn right now...?
I think I can answer this one. My experience is you pay the juice man regardless. Or, take an ass whipping. Whatever one chooses.
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The steam is which side the smart money is on.
The sugar or vigorish is what you pay on top of the amount you lose, like interest or tax.
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Money line is a straight up bet. You aren't betting the spread.
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I'm really surprised at the line even back at the start. Kansas State is not as good as they've been the last few years and we SHOULD be in the same tier as Florida State, Oregon and Alabama. Yet just a touchdown favorite?
Id say we're at least 24 points better than Kansas State. How much does home field help? 3 points on average? Thursday night game another three points?
If Florida State were playing @Oregon State
This weekend with Jameis playing, how much would they be favored? 30?
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I'm really surprised at the line even back at the start. Kansas State is not as good as they've been the last few years and we SHOULD be in the same tier as Florida State, Oregon and Alabama. Yet just a touchdown favorite?
Id say we're at least 24 points better than Kansas State. How much does home field help? 3 points on average? Thursday night game another three points?
If Florida State were playing @Oregon State
This weekend with Jameis playing, how much would they be favored? 30?
11 or 11.5, maybe into the low teens, not to 15 or above though.
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I'm fine with the line. Hell, we're playing a top 20 team on the road. We're not going to be a 20 point favorite.
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Money line is a straight up bet. You aren't betting the spread.
Like baseball prices right? No wait, we still incorporated the sugar into those prices.
I haven't done sports gambling since '95, when we still had busy signals...and never on line.
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But there is no juice on betting on Auburn for this game, only 20% on KSU, correct? In other words, you don't have to pay the house at all if you bet on Auburn right now...?
you always pay juice no matter who you bet on and no matter who wins.
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Vegas is smart.
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Vegas is smart.
It blows my mind how often this happens.
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Vegas is smart.
They know shit. Good shit.
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you always pay juice no matter who you bet on and no matter who wins.
Speaking of, you got that juice you owe me on the under from last night. Guido is just about to go make his rounds and I told him to hold off on your name, that I'd give you a call. He has his Lousville Slugger with him. I need my money.
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45-17
The important thing to learn from the last week in this thread is that Godfather was wrong here.
Seriously though, this is why I don't make sports bets. Somehow Vegas knew that Sammie & Duke wouldn't be able to catch a cold last night.
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The important thing to learn from the last week in this thread is that Godfather was wrong here.
Seriously though, this is why I don't make sports bets. Somehow Vegas knew that Sammie & Duke wouldn't be able to catch a cold last night.
Sammy had one pass that he missed and one where he had the db hanging on his arm. Do not mess with my boy. Racist.
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But there is no juice on betting on Auburn for this game, only 20% on KSU, correct? In other words, you don't have to pay the house at all if you bet on Auburn right now...?
In internet books now, sometimes they adjust the juice rather than move the line over a key number. For instance, if the line is 7, they know if they move it to 7 1/2 there could be a big swing in the way the money comes in. Rather than make that big of a change, they will change the juice to even on one side and -115 or -120 on the other. This effects the betting some, but not as much as adding the hook to a key number. So yes, sometimes you can bet the spread without having to pay the juice.
Those guys aren't stupid. I used to think I knew a lot about football until I started trying to make money at it.