Slumdog Saturday Picks

Snaggletiger · « **Reply #60 on:** September 18, 2014, 03:54:37 PM »

I got my mind on my money and my money on my mind.

Saniflush · « **Reply #61 on:** September 18, 2014, 04:00:23 PM »

Quote from: WiregrassTiger on September 18, 2014, 03:53:35 PM

What you talking about Willis? I haven't placed a significant wager in a while but are you saying that if I place a 1k bet on AU tonight and we cover, that I won't get my $900?

If you place a 1k on AU to cover then yes you are going to win $1000 minus what ever the juice cost is. Let's say 10% to keep it simple. That would be $900.00

If you bet $1000 on the money line then you are saying that Auburn is just gonna win no matter what they win by and that bet will make you about $300 when it pays off.

WiregrassTiger · « **Reply #62 on:** September 18, 2014, 04:02:01 PM »

Quote from: Snaggletiger on September 18, 2014, 03:54:37 PM

I got my mind on my money and my money on my mind.

I'm smoking endo.

WiregrassTiger · « **Reply #63 on:** September 18, 2014, 04:03:10 PM »

Quote from: Saniflush on September 18, 2014, 04:00:23 PM

If you place a 1k on AU to cover then yes you are going to win $1000 minus what ever the juice cost is. Let's say 10% to keep it simple. That would be $900.00

If you bet $1000 on the money line then you are saying that Auburn is just gonna win no matter what they win by and that bet will make you about $300 when it pays off.

ok, got you. I know not of this money line you speak of. But, everything else is the same as when I was a high rolling gambler back in my younger days.

AUChizad · « **Reply #64 on:** September 18, 2014, 04:09:36 PM »

Quote from: Saniflush on September 18, 2014, 04:00:23 PM

If you place a 1k on AU to cover then yes you are going to win $1000 minus what ever the juice cost is. Let's say 10% to keep it simple. That would be $900.00

If you bet $1000 on the money line then you are saying that Auburn is just gonna win no matter what they win by and that bet will make you about $300 when it pays off.

But there is no juice on betting on Auburn for this game, only 20% on KSU, correct? In other words, you don't have to pay the house at all if you bet on Auburn right now...?

jmar · « **Reply #65 on:** September 18, 2014, 04:11:29 PM »

I like Us and under. I think we have a few called back and Corey Grant runs wild. We also get some piddly interference calls but they CANNOT STOP US. Plus I think our front seven frustrates the hell out of them.

WiregrassTiger · « **Reply #66 on:** September 18, 2014, 04:13:58 PM »

Quote from: AUChizad on September 18, 2014, 04:09:36 PM

But there is no juice on betting on Auburn for this game, only 20% on KSU, correct? In other words, you don't have to pay the house at all if you bet on Auburn right now...?

I think I can answer this one. My experience is you pay the juice man regardless. Or, take an ass whipping. Whatever one chooses.

jmar · « **Reply #67 on:** September 18, 2014, 04:26:54 PM »

The steam is which side the smart money is on.
The sugar or vigorish is what you pay on top of the amount you lose, like interest or tax.

Godfather · « **Reply #68 on:** September 18, 2014, 04:37:55 PM »

Money line is a straight up bet. You aren't betting the spread.

Townhallsavoy · « **Reply #69 on:** September 18, 2014, 04:45:28 PM »

I'm really surprised at the line even back at the start. Kansas State is not as good as they've been the last few years and we SHOULD be in the same tier as Florida State, Oregon and Alabama. Yet just a touchdown favorite?

Id say we're at least 24 points better than Kansas State. How much does home field help? 3 points on average? Thursday night game another three points?

If Florida State were playing @Oregon State
This weekend with Jameis playing, how much would they be favored? 30?

jmar · « **Reply #70 on:** September 18, 2014, 04:57:03 PM »

Quote from: Townhallsavoy on September 18, 2014, 04:45:28 PM

I'm really surprised at the line even back at the start. Kansas State is not as good as they've been the last few years and we SHOULD be in the same tier as Florida State, Oregon and Alabama. Yet just a touchdown favorite?

Id say we're at least 24 points better than Kansas State. How much does home field help? 3 points on average? Thursday night game another three points?

If Florida State were playing @Oregon State
This weekend with Jameis playing, how much would they be favored? 30?

11 or 11.5, maybe into the low teens, not to 15 or above though.

Snaggletiger · « **Reply #71 on:** September 18, 2014, 05:02:28 PM »

I'm fine with the line. Hell, we're playing a top 20 team on the road. We're not going to be a 20 point favorite.

jmar · « **Reply #72 on:** September 18, 2014, 05:44:42 PM »

Quote from: Godfather on September 18, 2014, 04:37:55 PM

Money line is a straight up bet. You aren't betting the spread.

Like baseball prices right? No wait, we still incorporated the sugar into those prices.
I haven't done sports gambling since '95, when we still had busy signals...and never on line.

Saniflush · « **Reply #73 on:** September 18, 2014, 07:51:16 PM »

Quote from: AUChizad on September 18, 2014, 04:09:36 PM

But there is no juice on betting on Auburn for this game, only 20% on KSU, correct? In other words, you don't have to pay the house at all if you bet on Auburn right now...?

you always pay juice no matter who you bet on and no matter who wins.

Townhallsavoy · « **Reply #74 on:** September 18, 2014, 10:56:24 PM »

Vegas is smart.

Token · « **Reply #75 on:** September 18, 2014, 10:57:32 PM »

Quote from: Townhallsavoy on September 18, 2014, 10:56:24 PM

Vegas is smart.

It blows my mind how often this happens.

GH2001 · « **Reply #76 on:** September 19, 2014, 09:55:29 AM »

Quote from: Townhallsavoy on September 18, 2014, 10:56:24 PM

Vegas is smart.

They know shit. Good shit.

WiregrassTiger · « **Reply #77 on:** September 19, 2014, 09:57:36 AM »

Quote from: Saniflush on September 18, 2014, 07:51:16 PM

you always pay juice no matter who you bet on and no matter who wins.

Speaking of, you got that juice you owe me on the under from last night. Guido is just about to go make his rounds and I told him to hold off on your name, that I'd give you a call. He has his Lousville Slugger with him. I need my money.

AUChizad · « **Reply #78 on:** September 19, 2014, 09:57:40 AM »

Quote from: Godfather on September 18, 2014, 11:30:20 AM

45-17

The important thing to learn from the last week in this thread is that Godfather was wrong here.

Seriously though, this is why I don't make sports bets. Somehow Vegas knew that Sammie & Duke wouldn't be able to catch a cold last night.

WiregrassTiger · « **Reply #79 on:** September 19, 2014, 10:00:05 AM »

Quote from: AUChizad on September 19, 2014, 09:57:40 AM

The important thing to learn from the last week in this thread is that Godfather was wrong here.

Seriously though, this is why I don't make sports bets. Somehow Vegas knew that Sammie & Duke wouldn't be able to catch a cold last night.

Sammy had one pass that he missed and one where he had the db hanging on his arm. Do not mess with my boy. Racist.